Heidenheim vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
KAI
2 - 2
HEI
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 1
SVS
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 3
HER
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
F95
0 - 1
HEI
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HEI
0 - 3
FCN
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
PAD
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EBT
1 - 0
ARB
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
ARB
2 - 1
MSV
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
MTK
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
GRO
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |