Heidelberg Utd vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
82.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
HEU
2 - 0
SYD
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
HEU
2 - 2
GRE
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
HEU
0 - 2
HUM
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
HEU
3 - 3
NGW
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 3
HEU
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
MCI
5 - 1
WPH
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
EDG
1 - 2
MCI
6%
13%
81%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
MCI
0 - 1
MAC
8%
16%
77%
|
70 | 92 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 0
MCI
64%
19%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
WPH
0 - 2
MCI
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |