Heerenveen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ZWO
5 - 2
SCH
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TEL
0 - 4
SCH
11%
17%
72%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 4
ADO
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
RJC
3 - 1
SCH
22%
21%
57%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 1
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 2
RJC
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
FEY
2 - 1
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ADO
1 - 1
WIL
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 0
BVO
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |