Heerenveen vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 2
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 0
RKC
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
SCH
3 - 0
TWE
61%
21%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
SCH
3 - 1
AZA
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
BOS
2 - 1
TEL
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
TEL
2 - 0
GRA
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2003 |
TEL
5 - 1
EIN
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
BVV
2 - 2
TEL
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
GAE
3 - 5
TEL
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |