Eredivisie Eredivisie Round 29

Heerenveen vs NAC Breda analysis

Heerenveen NAC Breda
80 ELO 69
15% Tilt 15.3%
378º General ELO ranking 618º
14º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
69%
Heerenveen
18.1%
Draw
12.9%
NAC Breda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
Heerenveen
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.9%
Win probability
NAC Breda
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heerenveen
-2%
-8%
NAC Breda

ELO progression

Heerenveen
NAC Breda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heerenveen
Heerenveen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2015
HER
Heracles
1 - 4
Heerenveen
SCH
27%
25%
48%
80 68 12 0
15 Mar. 2015
SCH
Heerenveen
1 - 4
Ajax
AJA
35%
24%
41%
80 85 5 0
07 Mar. 2015
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
29%
24%
47%
80 72 8 0
01 Mar. 2015
EXC
Excelsior
3 - 0
Heerenveen
SCH
27%
24%
49%
81 72 9 -1
22 Feb. 2015
SCH
Heerenveen
3 - 1
Groningen
GRO
52%
23%
25%
81 80 1 0

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2015
UTR
Utrecht
3 - 4
NAC Breda
NAC
61%
22%
18%
68 75 7 0
14 Mar. 2015
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 0
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
38%
26%
36%
68 71 3 0
08 Mar. 2015
FEY
Feyenoord
3 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
69%
19%
13%
68 81 13 0
28 Feb. 2015
TWE
Twente
1 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
65%
21%
15%
67 80 13 +1
20 Feb. 2015
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 1
Cambuur
BVO
33%
27%
41%
66 73 7 +1