Heerenveen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
70.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TWE
2 - 3
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 2
ADO
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 2
SCH
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
SCH
0 - 1
FEY
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 1
VVV
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 2
AZA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 1
GET
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
GET
2 - 0
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |