Heerenveen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 5
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 1
ADO
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
KAT
0 - 1
SCH
4%
9%
86%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 3
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 5
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 0
AZA
56%
21%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
BYM
1 - 1
AJA
73%
16%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
TEW
0 - 7
AJA
4%
10%
87%
|
87 | 21 | 66 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |