China League Two Play Off Ascenso. 1/16
Global 4-2
Hebei Zhuoao vs Chengdu Qianbao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebei Zhuoao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 1
HEB
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HEB
2 - 1
BIT
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
YIN
4 - 1
HEB
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
HEB
1 - 1
ANH
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
QIN
3 - 2
HEB
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chengdu Qianbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 1
HEB
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAN
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NAN
0 - 1
SHR
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SHS
1 - 3
NAN
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NAN
5 - 1
HBS
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |