HEBC Hamburg vs Düneberger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
8.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
12º
5º
17
15º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HEBC Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
6 - 1
HEB
51%
20%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HEB
4 - 0
HAL
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 3
HEB
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
HEB
4 - 0
OSD
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 2
HEB
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Düneberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 2
VHG
17%
17%
67%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ALT
4 - 0
DNB
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DNB
7 - 0
KOS
44%
21%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 8
DNB
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
DNB
2 - 0
BIL
17%
19%
65%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |