Heath Hayes vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
77.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heath Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HEA
0 - 3
BRO
9%
16%
75%
|
5 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ALV
3 - 0
HEA
82%
12%
6%
|
6 | 23 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HEA
1 - 3
BLA
35%
24%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 4
HED
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HED
2 - 3
TAM
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BIG
0 - 2
HED
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HED
1 - 4
ALV
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
COA
0 - 0
HED
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |