Heartland Owerri vs Niger Tornadoes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GOM
2 - 0
HEA
46%
30%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
HEA
1 - 1
JSK
41%
29%
31%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ALA
2 - 1
HEA
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
HEA
2 - 1
ISM
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ISM
1 - 0
HEA
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Niger Tornadoes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
NIG
1 - 0
CRO
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2010 |
LOB
2 - 0
NIG
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2010 |
NIG
0 - 1
OCE
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
SHO
2 - 1
NIG
45%
29%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
NIG
2 - 0
KWA
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |