Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 1
ROS
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
HOM
0 - 2
GLA
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 1
HOM
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOM
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
STJ
1 - 3
CEL
16%
22%
62%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
STJ
1 - 2
ROS
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MHE
2 - 0
STJ
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
GLA
2 - 0
STJ
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
STJ
0 - 1
ABE
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |