Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2008 |
FAL
2 - 1
HOM
30%
29%
41%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
HOM
1 - 0
ICT
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
HOM
3 - 2
STM
70%
20%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
KIL
0 - 0
HOM
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
STM
1 - 0
KIL
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
KIL
1 - 1
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ICT
3 - 0
KIL
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
KIL
0 - 0
HOM
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
FAL
0 - 0
KIL
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |