Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ICT
2 - 1
HOM
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HOM
4 - 2
GLA
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
MHE
0 - 2
HOM
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CEL
5 - 0
HOM
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
HOM
1 - 1
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CLY
2 - 1
DUN
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
AIR
0 - 2
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
CLY
1 - 4
DUN
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
DUN
0 - 0
STJ
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |