Hayes & Yeading United vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hayes & Yeading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
HAY
3 - 1
SWI
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
POO
2 - 1
HAY
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
HAY
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HAY
1 - 1
TAU
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
HAY
2 - 5
WEA
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
HOR
0 - 1
BOG
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 1
BOG
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 2
BOG
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BIS
2 - 2
BOG
20%
22%
59%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GOS
0 - 1
BOG
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |