Hawkes Bay United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
HAW
1 - 4
HAW
42%
23%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
HAW
2 - 2
TEA
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 2
HAW
67%
20%
14%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
HAW
2 - 0
WAI
27%
22%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
WEL
3 - 0
HAW
60%
19%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
AUC
38%
27%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
WAI
0 - 3
AUC
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
AUC
4 - 1
WEL
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -4 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 0
AUC
15%
22%
63%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |