Le Havre vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
NAN
1 - 1
LHA
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
LHA
1 - 0
GUI
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
ASS
1 - 1
LHA
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
LHA
1 - 0
BAS
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
FCM
0 - 1
LHA
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
FCG
0 - 2
MPL
24%
30%
46%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
CAN
2 - 0
FCG
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
FCG
2 - 2
MON
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
LEN
2 - 0
FCG
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
NAN
1 - 0
FCG
79%
16%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |