Haverfordwest County vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+220%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CWM
0 - 4
HAV
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HAV
4 - 2
TON
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GOY
1 - 1
HAV
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
6 - 1
HAV
40%
24%
37%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HAV
2 - 0
ABE
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 2
GOY
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 0
WES
42%
22%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
WES
4 - 1
CAE
62%
19%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LLA
3 - 3
CAE
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 3
AFC
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |