Haverfordwest County vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
11º
8º
23
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
38% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 1
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
HAV
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAR
32%
25%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CON
1 - 2
HAV
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
BAR
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CON
7 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
PEN
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 3
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
GUI
63%
19%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |