Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 1
BAN
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
HAV
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 2
HAV
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 2
HAV
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 1
ABE
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
RHY
0 - 1
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 0
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 2
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 3
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 2
HAV
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |