Hauts Lyonnais vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
14º
9º
26
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hauts Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAE
0 - 0
HAL
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 0
TFC
3%
14%
83%
|
33 | 88 | 55 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 0
CLE
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CDE
2 - 1
HAL
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 1
HAL
15%
19%
67%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
ESM
2 - 4
PSG
1%
7%
92%
|
39 | 99 | 60 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ESM
1 - 1
BOU
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 1
DIJ
4%
9%
87%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
ESM
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 1
SEY
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |