Hastings United vs Chesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hastings United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HAS
0 - 0
CRA
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HAS
1 - 0
HER
51%
21%
27%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HAS
2 - 1
WHI
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 3
HAS
17%
20%
64%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HAS
4 - 0
SIT
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 0
GOS
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
ENF
1 - 1
CHE
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
HAR
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
WIM
1 - 2
CHE
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
GOS
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |