Hartley Wintney vs Hayes & Yeading United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 4
POO
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
3 - 1
YAT
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DAG
1 - 0
HAR
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
0 - 2
SAL
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
3 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hayes & Yeading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
HAY
2 - 2
CUM
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
UXB
2 - 1
HAY
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
HAY
2 - 2
CHE
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
WEA
0 - 2
HAY
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HAY
3 - 1
WHI
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |