Hartley Wintney vs Dorchester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 4
HAR
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 2
HAR
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
WES
2 - 1
HAR
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 2
WIM
55%
21%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
GOS
0 - 1
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
0 - 5
SAL
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
1 - 0
DOR
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
HAY
5 - 0
DOR
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
2 - 3
WHI
11%
17%
73%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BEA
3 - 1
DOR
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |