League Two Round 16

Hartlepool United vs Newport County analysis

Hartlepool United Newport County
57 ELO 60
-4.5% Tilt 9.5%
4284º General ELO ranking 4257º
121º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
36.9%
Hartlepool United
27.4%
Draw
35.7%
Newport County

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
Hartlepool United
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.7%
Win probability
Newport County
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hartlepool United
+14%
-21%
Newport County

ELO progression

Hartlepool United
Newport County
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hartlepool United
Hartlepool United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2021
HAR
Hartlepool United
2 - 2
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
24%
24%
52%
57 65 8 0
02 Nov. 2021
HAR
Hartlepool United
1 - 0
Everton U21
EVE
60%
20%
20%
57 49 8 0
30 Oct. 2021
LEY
Leyton Orient
5 - 0
Hartlepool United
HAR
41%
27%
32%
58 60 2 -1
23 Oct. 2021
HAR
Hartlepool United
3 - 2
Harrogate Town
TOW
37%
27%
36%
57 59 2 +1
19 Oct. 2021
BRA
Bradford City
1 - 3
Hartlepool United
HAR
36%
26%
38%
56 54 2 +1

Matches

Newport County
Newport County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2021
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 0
Newport County
NEW
46%
24%
30%
60 61 1 0
06 Nov. 2021
MOR
Morecambe
1 - 0
Newport County
NEW
41%
24%
35%
61 59 2 -1
30 Oct. 2021
NEW
Newport County
5 - 0
Stevenage
STE
54%
27%
19%
60 55 5 +1
23 Oct. 2021
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 3
Newport County
NEW
30%
26%
44%
59 52 7 +1
19 Oct. 2021
NEW
Newport County
2 - 2
Carlisle United
CUM
48%
26%
26%
59 54 5 0