Hartlepool United vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 1
BPO
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2004 |
HUR
0 - 2
HAR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
TRA
2 - 1
HAR
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 1
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 1
HAR
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BOS
1 - 1
MAC
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 0
SWA
45%
26%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 1
STF
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
LEY
1 - 3
MAC
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
BCF
2 - 0
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |