FA Cup . 1/128
Global 5-4
Hartlepool United vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HAR
1 - 3
MKD
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BHA
3 - 3
HAR
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LEY
1 - 0
HAR
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
CUM
0 - 1
HAR
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
HAR
1 - 0
BHA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CUM
3 - 1
BHA
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
BHA
2 - 0
SWI
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BHA
3 - 3
HAR
51%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
BHA
1 - 4
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BHA
4 - 1
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |