TSV Hartberg vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
12º
5º
10
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 38 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 36 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 35 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 32 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 31 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 28 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 26 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 24 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 23 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
62.5% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37.5% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Hartberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
AUS
1 - 3
HAR
39%
26%
36%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
HAR
1 - 2
RBS
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FCB
0 - 1
HAR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
WAT
4 - 2
HAR
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SVL
2 - 5
HAR
15%
19%
66%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
WOL
1 - 2
RAP
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2025 |
GYO
2 - 1
RAP
37%
24%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 0
ALT
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 2
RAP
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
STR
1 - 2
RAP
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |