Penn FC vs Saint Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
PNN
1 - 0
OTT
30%
25%
44%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PNN
2 - 1
TOR
66%
19%
16%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PNN
1 - 1
CIN
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 2
PNN
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
PNN
2 - 3
TAM
27%
25%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 2
CIN
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 0
ORL
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 2
PNN
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
OTT
2 - 2
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
LOU
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |