Harlow Town vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harlow Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 4
AVE
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HEY
0 - 1
HAR
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ILF
1 - 2
HAR
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 2
THA
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 3
WAL
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 1
YEL
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
YEL
1 - 3
CHE
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
YEL
1 - 4
HEY
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 0
YEL
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
THA
2 - 1
YEL
26%
23%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |