Hamilton Parish vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Parish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 0
PHC
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 1
DEV
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 1
HAM
36%
22%
43%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
NOR
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAG
2 - 2
HAM
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
3 - 1
SOM
64%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
XRW
0 - 3
SOM
48%
22%
31%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SOM
0 - 4
STG
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SOM
1 - 2
YMS
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SOM
1 - 0
DEV
21%
21%
59%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |