Hamburger SV vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HSV
3 - 1
WUR
60%
22%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
HSV
3 - 0
ERZ
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SGF
0 - 1
HSV
26%
24%
51%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
PAD
3 - 4
HSV
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
HSV
2 - 1
F95
29%
24%
48%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DAR
2 - 2
STP
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
STP
2 - 2
FCN
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
BRE
4 - 1
STP
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
SVS
1 - 0
STP
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
STP
4 - 2
HEI
25%
27%
49%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |