Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
STP
1 - 0
HSV
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
WUR
3 - 2
HSV
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
HSV
0 - 0
SGF
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
ERZ
3 - 3
HSV
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HSV
3 - 1
PAD
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 3
HOL
14%
18%
68%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 0
ERZ
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
SGF
2 - 1
HOL
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 0
WUR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
F95
0 - 2
HOL
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |