Champions League . Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Hamburger SV vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
KAI
4 - 2
HSV
44%
25%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
HSV
1 - 2
MSV
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
HSV
3 - 1
BYM
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
MON
2 - 2
HSV
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
HSV
3 - 1
RTV
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
HKS
1 - 2
VEJ
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
VEJ
0 - 3
HKS
23%
26%
52%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
TRA
0 - 1
HKS
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
HKS
1 - 0
TRA
62%
22%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 0
HKS
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |