DFB Pokal . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Hamburger SV vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1976 |
HER
1 - 1
HSV
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
HSV
0 - 1
BYM
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
BRU
1 - 0
HSV
69%
18%
12%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
EIN
1 - 0
HSV
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
HOM
1 - 2
HSV
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1976 |
BYM
3 - 0
MSV
76%
14%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
HSV
0 - 1
BYM
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
BYM
2 - 0
RMA
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
BYM
3 - 4
KAI
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
KOL
2 - 5
BYM
50%
23%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |