Hamburger SV III vs Wandsbeker Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
27.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
17º
54
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
HAM
13%
16%
70%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
HAM
5 - 3
BRA
88%
8%
4%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
MEI
0 - 4
HAM
5%
11%
85%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
HAM
10 - 3
MEI
92%
6%
2%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 3
HAM
22%
19%
59%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wandsbeker Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 1
WAN
88%
9%
4%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
BSV
3 - 1
WAN
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
WAN
1 - 1
TOD
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
VHG
2 - 1
WAN
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BUC
0 - 3
WAN
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |