HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
2º
2º
46
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 1
HKS
35%
25%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 2
IST
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 0
RIJ
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HKS
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
5 - 1
SLA
72%
18%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SLA
1 - 0
NKV
39%
27%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 2
NKV
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 1
HNG
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
NKV
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |