Hadley vs Biggleswade Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
5º
16º
8º
61
5º
19º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hadley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CIR
2 - 2
HAD
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HAD
1 - 2
BER
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
KID
3 - 2
HAD
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
HAD
3 - 1
HER
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
WEL
0 - 4
HAD
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Biggleswade Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
BIG
1 - 2
BER
26%
23%
51%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BIG
4 - 1
AYL
78%
14%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
BIG
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BIG
1 - 2
DID
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
KEM
2 - 0
BIG
20%
22%
59%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -2 |