Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-2
Häcken vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
HÄC
4 - 1
HAL
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
TNV
0 - 1
HÄC
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
ELF
0 - 2
HÄC
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
HÄC
1 - 3
GAI
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
HÄC
1 - 0
TRO
52%
22%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
TNV
0 - 1
HÄC
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
TNV
0 - 1
PET
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
TNV
0 - 1
BBL
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
TNV
1 - 3
KAR
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
TNV
4 - 1
ZMO
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |