HFC Haarlem vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
FOR
4 - 0
HFC
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
HFC
4 - 1
BOS
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 2
HFC
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 0
HFC
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
HFC
0 - 0
RJC
56%
22%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
AJA
3 - 0
UTR
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
FEY
3 - 1
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
5 - 0
GAE
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
RJC
2 - 1
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |