HFC Haarlem vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
74%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
HFC
1 - 2
TEL
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
NAC
1 - 1
HFC
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
HFC
1 - 1
GRO
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
FEY
1 - 0
HFC
93%
5%
2%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
HFC
1 - 1
NEC
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
AZA
0 - 5
AJA
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
SPA
3 - 1
AJA
41%
27%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
AJA
3 - 0
CSK
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
AJA
8 - 0
EXC
97%
2%
1%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | +1 |