Gwardia Koszalin vs Jarota Jarocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwardia Koszalin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
GWA
0 - 1
PSR
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LPO
3 - 0
GWA
82%
12%
5%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
GWA
3 - 2
KAL
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SOK
3 - 1
GWA
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GWA
0 - 2
KSG
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
Jarota Jarocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
JAR
2 - 2
RST
9%
18%
74%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
PSR
3 - 0
JAR
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
JAR
0 - 1
KOT
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LPO
4 - 0
JAR
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
JAR
3 - 0
WDA
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |