Gutersloh vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
LUB
2 - 3
GUT
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
GUT
1 - 0
VFB
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
KAI
2 - 0
GUT
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
GUT
2 - 3
ROT
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
KÖL
3 - 0
GUT
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
STU
2 - 0
ZWI
84%
11%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
ZWI
1 - 2
LOK
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
HER
1 - 0
ZWI
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
ZWI
0 - 0
WOL
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
M05
1 - 1
ZWI
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |