Gute vs Vasalunds IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KUN
2 - 1
GUT
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FOF
3 - 1
GUT
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GUT
1 - 2
OST
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCJ
0 - 3
GUT
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 0
SAN
49%
21%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Vasalunds IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 1
VAS
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
VAS
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 2
ASS
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 2
VAS
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |