Guiseley vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 3
GUI
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 1
HIS
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
4 - 1
GUI
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 2
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 2
HED
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
BRA
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 1
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ATH
0 - 4
BAR
28%
24%
49%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 4
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |