Guingamp vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
NIC
3 - 0
GUI
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 3
MAR
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
STR
3 - 3
GUI
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 1
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MPL
2 - 0
GUI
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
DIJ
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
NIC
0 - 1
CAE
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 1
ANG
22%
28%
51%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NÎM
2 - 0
CAE
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
CAE
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |