Guilsfield FC vs Holyhead Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 1
BUC
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 0
LLA
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
AIR
1 - 1
GUI
57%
20%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
GUI
24%
23%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 0
COL
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AIR
1 - 0
HOL
85%
11%
5%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
BAN
4 - 0
HOL
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 0
LLA
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HOL
0 - 3
BUC
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |