Guernsey vs Burgess Hill Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GUE
0 - 6
ASH
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
HYT
2 - 1
GUE
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GUE
0 - 3
CHI
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
GUE
2 - 2
HAY
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GUE
3 - 1
SIT
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
BUR
2 - 2
RAM
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 3
HAS
17%
20%
64%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 0
BUR
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BUR
4 - 2
THR
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FAV
1 - 2
BUR
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |