Guareña vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
MCB
1 - 1
GUA
71%
20%
9%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 1
UCL
40%
27%
33%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
VIL
2 - 1
GUA
58%
24%
18%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAS
52%
25%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
CDZ
0 - 0
BAD
48%
26%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
CDZ
1 - 0
EXT
48%
25%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
CPC
0 - 2
CDZ
21%
24%
56%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
CDZ
1 - 1
BUR
41%
27%
32%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
DBN
0 - 1
CDZ
56%
23%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |