Guaratinguetá vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
DUQ
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
POR
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 2
PAR
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 2
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARA
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
IRA
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |